This article give a good summary of some criteria for this being “over”, as well as what “recovered” really means. In layman’s terms, we need to get to a place where normal activity does not cause spikes. ~ Steve
“Here’s the latest tally of the four key metrics we’ve been following:
Goal 1: A two-week drop in cases as measured by the 14-day running average, which would indicate that the virus is not spreading.
Have we met this goal? No.
The two-week average of new cases started rising in July and while there are signs it may be starting to decline again, as of this writing it is 28 cases per day, the same point it was July 23.
Goal 2: Fewer than four new cases per 100,000 people each day, or 54 new cases a day, which would show that the disease is below dangerous levels.
Have we met this goal? Yes, easily: we are barely seeing half that level of new cases.
Goal 3: Conducting at least 150 PCR tests, which spot current COVID-19 cases per 100,000 people each day. New Hampshire has 1.35 million people, so that works out to 2,000 tests per day.
Have we met this goal? Yes.
The average number of test results were reported each day rose to 2,700 last week, with almost 3,800 reported on Aug. 12, one of the highest numbers ever. However, the number of people being tested is much lower because multiple tests can be given to individuals working in health care.
Goal 4: A positive rate of PCR tests below 5%, indicating that the virus is not spreading rapidly in the general population.
Have we met this goal? Yes.
As measured by the Department of Health and Human Services, the positive rate has been around 3% for more than two months.”
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NH DHHS COVID-19 Update – August 31st, 2020
On Sunday, August 30, 2020, DHHS announced 9 new positive test results for COVID-19. There have now been 7,254 cases of COVID-19 diagnosed in New Hampshire. Several cases are still under investigation. Additional information from ongoing investigations will be incorporated into future COVID-19 updates. Of those with complete information, there are five individuals under the age of 18 and the rest are adults with 44% being female and 56% being male. The new cases reside in Hillsborough County other than Manchester and Nashua (3), Rockingham (3), Merrimack (1), and Belknap (1) counties, and in the city of Manchester (1).
No new hospitalized cases were identified for a total of 714 (10%) of 7,254 cases.
Community Based Transmission
One of the new cases had no identified risk factors.
DHHS has no additional deaths to report.
Cumulative Positive Tests by County
- Belknap 125
- Carroll 104
- Cheshire 129
- Coos 18
- Grafton 113
- Hillsborough – Other 1,311
- Hillsborough – Manchester 1901
- Hillsborough – Nashua 815
- Merrimack 500
- Rockingham 1805
- Strafford 383
- Sullivan 47
New Hampshire 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) Summary Report
(data updated August 30th, 2020, 9:00 AM)
NH Persons with COVID-191 7,254
- Recovered 6,600 (91%)
- Deaths Attributed to COVID-19 432 (6%)
- Total Current COVID-19 Cases 222
- Persons Who Have Been Hospitalized for COVID-19 714 (10%)
- Current Hospitalizations 6
Total Persons Tested at Selected Laboratories,
- Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) 209,295
- Total Persons Tested at Selected Laboratories, Antibody
- Laboratory Tests 29,702
- Persons with Specimens Submitted to NH PHL 42,257
- Persons with Test Pending at NH PHL 1297
- Persons Being Monitored in NH (approximate point in time) 1,800
Number of Specimens Tested by Date of Report to NH DHHS
Information above, and archived daily updates are available here: https://www.nh.gov/covid19/news/updates.htm
Regional Information (total positive test results, deaths)
Look-back period is 1 week.
NH: 7,107 positive test results 429 deaths (1 week ago: 7,107 positive test results 429 deaths) (+119/+6)
MA: 125,360 positive test results 8921 deaths (1 week ago: 125,360 positive test results 8921 deaths) (+1767/+83)
ME: 4,335 positive test results 131 deaths (1 week ago: 4,335 positive test results 131 deaths)
VT: 1,557 positive test results 58 deaths (1 week ago: 1,557 positive test results 58 deaths)
CT: 51,519 positive test results 4,460 deaths (1 week ago: 51,519 positive test results 4,460 deaths)
RI: 21,022 positive test results 1030 deaths (1 week ago: 21,022 positive test results 1030 deaths)
NY: 434,462 positive test results 32,482 deaths (1 week ago: 434,462 positive test results 32,482 deaths) (+4,236/+58)